Will Mercedes hit back as F1’s triple-header gets underway in France?

mahbx.com previews this weekend’s French Grand Prix, where the focus will be on Mercedes and whether it can bounce back from two disappointing weekends in Monaco and Azerbaijan.
(L to R): Lewis Hamilton (GBR) Mercedes AMG F1 with Valtteri Bottas (FIN) Mercedes AMG F1 on the grid.
(L to R): Lewis Hamilton (GBR) Mercedes AMG F1 with Valtteri Bottas (FIN) Mercedes AMG F1 on…
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1. Will Mercedes hit back?

It was a disastrous two races for Mercedes a𒁃s it surrenderedꦡ the lead of both championships. 

In both Monte Carlo and Baku, Merce😼des simply didn’t have 💦the pace to beat Red Bull, however, uncharacteristic errors from the team compounded a miserable pair of races for the reigning world champions.

At the Monaco Grand Prix, a botched pitstop cost Valtteri Bottas a podium while Lewis Hamilton co🎉uld only finish seventh after str🐟uggling for pace all weekend. 

Hamilton should have won in Baku, but an uncharacteristic error meant he was unable to capitalise on Max Verstappen♌’s earlier retirement after suffering a tyre blowout. 

Thus, Red Bull has opened up a 26-point advantage in the constructors’ championship, leaving Mercedes to openly admit it is currently not operatiཧng at the level “it takes to win championships”. 

The good news for Mercedes is that the run of street venues is over as F1 heads to the Circuit Paul Ric🧸ard in France before a double-header in Austria.

Hamilton dominated the Fren🌼ch Grand Prix from pole position in 2018 and 2019, securing a 1-2 finish in the most recen🌳t race at Paul Ricard.

Getting the tyres into the window pro⛄ved to be the main sticking point for Mercedes as street tracks like Baku lack any high-speed or high load corners that help the tyres to get up to temperature quickly.

France i⛄s a more ‘traditional’ tra🌊ck layout with a combination of high-speed and medium-speed corners, which in theory should help Mercedes with its tyre issues. 

Mercedes should return to form in France, but we thought that would 🍌be the case🔯 for Baku.

Valtteri Bottas (FIN) Mercedes AMG F1 in the pits while the race is stopped.
Valtteri Bottas (FIN) Mercedes AMG F1 in the pits while the race is stopped.
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2. Can Bottas save his season?

Bottas has endured his worst start to a season since joining Mercedes in 2017, and while it hasn’t been entirely his fault, the Finn has to return to form in the upcoming 🎉triple-header.

The Finn was robbed of a guaranteed podium in Monaco but his performance across the Azerbaijan GP weekend was arg♌uably the worst of his career, struggling for pace throughout. 

With Sergio Perez looking like he has finally adapted to the Red Bull RB16B, taඣking his first victory for th🌸e team last time out in Baku, Mercedes will be relying on Bottas to assist its push in the constructors’ championship, while being a useful pawn against Verstappen in Hamilton’s pursuit of the drivers’ championship.

If the latest rumours are to be believe✃d, he is on his way out of the team in favour of Russell but Bottas will know he’s fighting for his F1 career with limited competitive seats available on the grid for 2022.

If Bottas is indeed dropped for next season, ♔Mercedes will have to be wary of how it handles its second driver and ensure it doesn’t suffer as Ferrari di⛎d with Sebastian Vettel with having a disillusioned, unmotivated driver on its hands.

The good news for Bottas is that Mercedes loves the Circuit Paul Ricard and the Finn him🅰self has an immense record at the Red Bull 🅰Ring, which hosts the Styrian and Austrian Grands Prix.

Carlos Sainz Jr (ESP) Ferrari SF-21 makes a pit stop.
Carlos Sainz Jr (ESP) Ferrari SF-21 makes a pit stop.
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3. A true gauge of Ferrari’s progress

One of the big🌌gest talking points from F1’s run of street circuits was the form of Ferrari.

Charles Leclerc scored back-to-back poꦕle positions, surprising everyone.

Sainz ꦓconfirmed Ferrari’s impressive turn of pace in Monaco with second after Leclerc was unable to take to the start following his crash in the dying moments in Q3.

Leclerc 🍷didn’t have🌌 the race pace in Baku to maintain a podium, although still came away with fourth.

Team boss Mattia Binotꦺto doesn’t believe it is a true representation of Ferrari’s true pace.

“I think obviously there are 𓃲two cars ahead of us [Red Bull and Mercedes] which are still stronger, no doubt,” Binotto said.

“It was great to have pole position both in Monaco and here♋ in Baku, but 🎐I don’t think that is reflecting our true performance overall. I think there are two cars which are stronger.”

Ferrari leads McLare🌊n by just two points in the race for third in the constructors’ championship and the Italian marquee will be hoping it can carry some of its form into this weekend’s French GP.

Sebastian Vettel (GER) Aston Martin F1 Team celebrates his second position on the podium.
Sebastian Vettel (GER) Aston Martin F1 Team celebrates his second position on the podium.
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4.  Is the Vettel ‘of old’ truly back?

Sebastian Vettel was back to his best in Monaco and Baku as he propelled himself up in📖to ninth in the drivers’ championship.

Before Monaco, Vettel hadn’t scored a point leading to question whether the four-time champion stil💯l has what it takes to compete at this🦄 level.

The German hit back spectacularly in Monaco with an impr꧅essive overcut allowing him to get ahead of Pierre Gasly and Hamilton for fifth.

Similar🌟ly, a long first stint in Azerbaijan moved him up the 💞order before overtaking Gasly and Leclerc for fourth on track.

Vettel ultimately scored his and Aston Martin’s first podium of the season, inheriting second after Verstappen’s tyre ꧃failure and Hamilton’s mistake at the red flag restart♓. 

Like Ferrari, Aston Martin’s upturn is probably circuit-related but it doesn’t take away from Vettel’s two recent stunning performances. 

Will Mercedes hit back as F1’s triple-header gets underway in France?

5. Another Paul Ricard snoozefest?

The Circuit Paul Ricard isn’t top of fa🌊ns’ list of F1 circuits with its last two grands prix being snoozefests.

The t𒁃rack layout itself does lend itself to some opportunities with the long Mistral Straigﷺht a prime opportunity to overtake. 

Thꦰe sample size is very small so⭕ it would be unfair to completely write off this French circuit.

A competitive battle between Hamilton and Verstappen at the front; a late Safety Car or some rain c൩ould easily change fans’ peಞrceptions.

For this year’s race, the🧔 circuit has undergone an extensive resurfacing and reprofiling programme which has consequently seen the reprofiling of a number of corners. 

The change𓂃s will not only improve the drainage but likely pose more of a challenge to drivers and thus leading to potentially more battling on track.

Conversely, the new track surface will make the circuit smoother and potentially easier to driveꦗ with fewer bumps under braking and so on.

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